What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
Bawler's model rates this match: Crystal Palace are favoured (64% win probability vs 15% for Ipswich Town, 21% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Crystal Palace 2-0 Ipswich Town (10.3% probability). Expected total goals: 3.08.
How does Bawler predict Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Crystal Palace 64%, the draw 21% and Ipswich Town 15%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
BTTS: Yes (54% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.12 and away expected goals 0.95.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.08. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).