FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Ipswich Town 3–1 Leicester CityMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Ipswich Town
3–1
Ipswich Town win
Leicester City

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Ipswich Town to win at 61%. Bawler had Ipswich Town at 61%, the draw at 22% and Leicester City at 17%. The match finished 3–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

Ipswich Town win
61%
Result
Draw
22%
Leicester City win
17%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.0 – 1.0
Total 3.0
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 2.0
From the match itself

The match produced 1.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Ipswich Town to win
Pre-match: 61%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 35%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

More from Bawler