Columbus Crew beat Colorado Rapids 3–0. Bawler's model had Columbus Crew in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Columbus Crew had 15 shots (6 on target) to Colorado Rapids' 10 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Columbus Crew beat Colorado Rapids 3–0. Bawler's model had Columbus Crew in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Columbus Crew had 15 shots (6 on target) to Colorado Rapids' 10 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.6.
Columbus Crew 3–0 Colorado Rapids, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Columbus Crew 49%, the draw 25% and Colorado Rapids 26%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.6, Shots 15–10, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 12–2, Big chances 6–1, Corners 1–3, Saves 2–3, Fouls 13–16, Offsides 6–0, Yellow cards 3–0.
No. It finished 3–0, so Colorado Rapids failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Columbus Crew or draw 74%, it finished Columbus Crew won (49% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.