Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids prediction — MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK
Columbus Crew 49Draw 26Colorado Rapids 26
The call
49%
Columbus Crew to win
2.9
Goals expected
13d 23hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Columbus Crew or draw74%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
BTTS56%
Columbus Crew win to nil25%
Colorado Rapids or draw51%
Under 3.5 goals68%
Correct score 1–111%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D W W W L L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CCR 2 · D 1 · CRA 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

May 2023Columbus Crew 3–2 Colorado Rapids
Aug 2022Colorado Rapids 1–1 Columbus Crew
May 2019Colorado Rapids 3–2 Columbus Crew
Sept 2018Columbus Crew 2–1 Colorado Rapids
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Common questions

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids?

Bawler's model rates this match: Columbus Crew are favoured (49% win probability vs 26% for Colorado Rapids, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Columbus Crew 1-1 Colorado Rapids (12.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.86.

How does Bawler predict Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Columbus Crew 49%, the draw 26% and Colorado Rapids 26%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids?

BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.69 and away expected goals 1.17.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.86. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Columbus Crew form →Colorado Rapids form →