FT · USA: MLS · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Colorado Rapids 1–0 LAFCMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was LAFC or draw at 68%. Bawler had Colorado Rapids at 32%, the draw at 27% and LAFC at 41%. The match finished 1–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Colorado Rapids win
32%
Result
Draw
27%
LAFC win
41%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.5
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.8 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Missed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 54%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 27%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.