Columbus Crew vs CF Montréal prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK
Columbus Crew 54Draw 25CF Montréal 21
The call
79%
Columbus Crew or draw
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

CF Montréal beat Columbus Crew 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave CF Montréal 21%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Columbus Crew had 6 shots (2 on target) to CF Montréal's 14 (7), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 1.2.

Columbus CrewFull-time statsCF Montréal
62%Possession38%
0.3Expected goals (xG)1.2
6Shots14
2Shots on target7
4Shots inside box8
0Big chances2
5Corners3
5Saves1
7Fouls7
4Offsides0
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultColumbus Crew 54%CF Montréal (21% called)
Total goals2.83
Both teams to score54%Yes
Model call1X 79%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Columbus Crew to score83%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals68%
CF Montréal to score65%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5COL 2 · D 2 · MON 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Aug 2026Columbus Crew 1–2 CF Montréal
May 2025CF Montréal 1–1 Columbus Crew
Apr 2025Columbus Crew 2–1 CF Montréal
May 2024CF Montréal 1–3 Columbus Crew
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Columbus Crew vs CF Montréal?

CF Montréal beat Columbus Crew 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave CF Montréal 21%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Columbus Crew had 6 shots (2 on target) to CF Montréal's 14 (7), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Columbus Crew vs CF Montréal?

Columbus Crew 1–2 CF Montréal, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Columbus Crew 54%, the draw 25% and CF Montréal 21%.

What were the stats in Columbus Crew vs CF Montréal?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–1.2, Shots 6–14, Shots on target 2–7, Shots inside box 4–8, Big chances 0–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 5–1, Fouls 7–7, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Columbus Crew vs CF Montréal?

Yes — both Columbus Crew and CF Montréal scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Columbus Crew vs CF Montréal right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Columbus Crew 54%, it finished CF Montréal (21% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 79%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Columbus Crew form →CF Montréal form →