Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction — MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK
Charlotte FC 45Draw 27Houston Dynamo FC 28
The call
45%
Charlotte FC to win
2.7
Goals expected
13d 23hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Charlotte FC or draw72%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
BTTS53%
Charlotte FC win to nil25%
Houston Dynamo FC or draw55%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Correct score 1–112%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L W W L W D
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CHA 2 · D 0 · HOU 1
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Jun 2024Houston Dynamo FC 1–0 Charlotte FC
Aug 2023Charlotte FC 2–1 Houston Dynamo FC
Jul 2022Houston Dynamo FC 1–2 Charlotte FC
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Common questions

Who will win Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Bawler's model rates this match: Charlotte FC are favoured (45% win probability vs 28% for Houston Dynamo FC, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Charlotte FC 1-1 Houston Dynamo FC (12.9% probability). Expected total goals: 2.66.

How does Bawler predict Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Charlotte FC 45%, the draw 27% and Houston Dynamo FC 28%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

BTTS: Yes (53% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.51 and away expected goals 1.15.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.66. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Charlotte FC form →Houston Dynamo FC form →