Portugal: Primeira LigaSunday 30 Aug, 17:00 UTC

Casa Pia vMoreirense

Most likely scoreline
1–1
12% of the time · 2.54 goals expected
Casa Pia 42%Draw 32%Moreirense 25%
How we get there
Casa PiastepMoreirense
1.46Base xG · rolling 26-match1.08
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.46Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.08

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Casa Pia average 3.6 corners per game at home this season (17 competitive matches). Moreirense average 3.3 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
11
12
7
2
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
2
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Casa Pia fixtures & form →Moreirense fixtures & form →

Casa Pia vs Moreirense — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Casa Pia and Moreirense — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Casa Pia 42% · draw 32% · Moreirense 25%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Casa Pia predictions & form →Moreirense predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.