FT · PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal · Saturday, 08 August 2026
Maritimo 1–0 Casa PiaMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 08 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Maritimo at 52%, draw at 30%, Casa Pia at 19%. The match ended 1-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Maritimo.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Maritimo win
52%
Actual ✓
Draw
30%
Pia win
19%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
1X
Pre-match: 73%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 51%
✓ Won
Outside shot
X2
Pre-match: 25%
✗ Lost