How it finished
Cagliari beat Lecce 1–0. Bawler's model had Cagliari in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Cagliari had 20 shots (9 on target) to Lecce's 10 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Cagliari vs Lecce?
Cagliari beat Lecce 1–0. Bawler's model had Cagliari in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Cagliari had 20 shots (9 on target) to Lecce's 10 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Cagliari vs Lecce?
Cagliari 1–0 Lecce, played on 07 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cagliari 47%, the draw 28% and Lecce 25%.
What were the stats in Cagliari vs Lecce?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.4, Shots 20–10, Shots on target 9–3, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 3–0, Corners 7–5, Saves 3–8, Fouls 9–13, Offsides 5–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Cagliari vs Lecce?
No. It finished 1–0, so Lecce failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Cagliari vs Lecce right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cagliari or draw 75%, it finished Cagliari won (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 71%, it finished Missed.