What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Cagliari vs Lecce?
Bawler's model rates this match: Cagliari are favoured (47% win probability vs 25% for Lecce, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Lecce?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Cagliari 1-1 Lecce (13.2% probability). Expected total goals: 2.46.
How does Bawler predict Cagliari vs Lecce?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Cagliari 47%, the draw 28% and Lecce 25%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Lecce?
BTTS: No (51% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 1.46 and away expected goals 1.00.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Cagliari vs Lecce?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.46. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).