FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 20 September 2026
AC Milan 3–0 LecceMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AC Milan win
64%
Result
Draw
22%
Lecce win
15%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 0.9
Total 2.9
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 0.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 2.9.