How it finished
Bristol City beat Burnley 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Burnley at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Bristol City 20%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Burnley had 8 shots (2 on target) to Bristol City's 14 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Burnley vs Bristol City?
Bristol City beat Burnley 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Burnley at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Bristol City 20%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Burnley had 8 shots (2 on target) to Bristol City's 14 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Burnley vs Bristol City?
Burnley 1–2 Bristol City, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Burnley 56%, the draw 24% and Bristol City 20%.
What were the stats in Burnley vs Bristol City?
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–0.9, Shots 8–14, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 4–9, Big chances 0–1, Corners 5–8, Saves 2–1, Fouls 13–7, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–0.
Did both teams score in Burnley vs Bristol City?
Yes — both Burnley and Bristol City scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Burnley vs Bristol City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Burnley or draw 80%, it finished Bristol City won (20% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.