FT · England: Championship · Friday, 18 September 2026
Bristol City 1–0 WatfordMatch recap · Friday, 18 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Bristol City win
40%
Result
Draw
28%
Watford win
33%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.3
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.