FT · England: Championship · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln CityMatch recap · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Bristol City win
38%
Draw
27%
Lincoln City win
34%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.3
Total 2.7
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.