FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Southampton 4–1 Bristol CityMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Southampton win
60%
Result
Draw
22%
Bristol City win
18%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.0
Total 3.0
Actual
4 – 1
Total 5 (+2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 2.2
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.