How it finished
Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 3–2. Bawler's model had Borussia Dortmund in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Borussia Dortmund had 18 shots (6 on target) to Villarreal's 13 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 3–2. Bawler's model had Borussia Dortmund in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Borussia Dortmund had 18 shots (6 on target) to Villarreal's 13 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.3.
What was the final score in Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Borussia Dortmund 54%, the draw 24% and Villarreal 23%.
What were the stats in Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–1.3, Shots 18–13, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 6–4, Corners 9–7, Saves 5–4, Fouls 15–10, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Yes — both Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Borussia Dortmund or draw 77%, it finished Borussia Dortmund won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Borussia Dortmund to win 54%, it finished Landed.