FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Paderborn 07Match recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Borussia Dortmund win
72%
Result
Draw
17%
SC Paderborn 07 win
11%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.5 – 0.9
Total 3.4
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (−0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 0.4
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 3.4.