Austin FC and Philadelphia Union drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Philadelphia Union at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Austin FC had 12 shots (6 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 9 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Austin FC and Philadelphia Union drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Philadelphia Union at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Austin FC had 12 shots (6 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 9 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.0.
Austin FC 1–1 Philadelphia Union, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austin FC 26%, the draw 25% and Philadelphia Union 49%.
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.0, Shots 12–9, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 10–6, Big chances 4–2, Corners 6–6, Saves 2–5, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both Austin FC and Philadelphia Union scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Philadelphia Union 49%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said X2 74%, it finished Landed.