FT · England: EFL Cup · Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Reading 1–2 BrentfordMatch recap · Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Reading
1–2
Brentford win
Brentford

Pre-match probability vs result

Reading win
21%
Draw
23%
Brentford win
55%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.1 – 1.9
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 3.2
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.

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