FT · England: EFL Cup · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Sunderland 3–2 BrentfordMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Sunderland win
31%
Result
Draw
25%
Brentford win
44%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.7
Total 3.1
Actual
3 – 2
Total 5 (+1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 2.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.