FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 12 September 2026
AFC Bournemouth 2–2 BrentfordMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AFC Bournemouth win
46%
Draw
24%
Result
Brentford win
30%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.4
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.2 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.