FT · England: Premier League · Friday, 18 September 2026
Brentford 3–0 ChelseaMatch recap · Friday, 18 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Brentford win
44%
Result
Draw
25%
Chelsea win
31%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.4
Total 3.1
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.7 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.