How it finished
Santa Clara beat Arouca 2–1. Bawler's model had Santa Clara in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Arouca had 10 shots (4 on target) to Santa Clara's 12 (5), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Arouca vs Santa Clara?
Santa Clara beat Arouca 2–1. Bawler's model had Santa Clara in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Arouca had 10 shots (4 on target) to Santa Clara's 12 (5), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Arouca vs Santa Clara?
Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Arouca 34%, the draw 29% and Santa Clara 37%.
What were the stats in Arouca vs Santa Clara?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.2, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 5–7, Big chances 1–2, Corners 5–2, Saves 3–3, Fouls 14–12, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–4, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Arouca vs Santa Clara?
Yes — both Arouca and Santa Clara scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Arouca vs Santa Clara right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Santa Clara or draw 66%, it finished Santa Clara won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 70%, it finished Landed.