FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Santa Clara 0–0 BragaMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Santa Clara win
30%
Draw
30%
Result
Braga win
40%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.3
Total 2.3
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.