FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Sporting CP 2–2 AroucaMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Sporting CP win
75%
Draw
16%
Result
Arouca win
8%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.5 – 0.7
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 2.1
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.