FT · Spain: La Liga · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Alavés 0–1 ValenciaMatch recap · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Alavés win
44%
Draw
27%
Valencia win
28%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.2
Total 2.6
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 1.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.