FT · Spain: La Liga · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Racing Santander 2–1 AlavésMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Racing Santander win
41%
Result
Draw
27%
Alavés win
32%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.3
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 2.0
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.