Al Shabab vs Al Fayha prediction — Saudi Pro League · Thu 10 Sept · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Thu 10 Sept · 19:00 UK
Al Shabab 50Draw 25Al Fayha 25
The call
75%
Al Shabab or draw
2.9
Goals expected
14d 04hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Al Shabab to score82%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Al Fayha to score68%
Under 3.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W L L L D D
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ASH 4 · D 1 · AFA 0
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2026Al Shabab 1–0 Al-Fayha
Sept 2025Al-Fayha 0–0 Al Shabab
May 2025Al-Fayha 0–2 Al Shabab
Jan 2025Al Shabab 2–1 Al-Fayha
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Common questions

Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Shabab are favoured (50% win probability vs 25% for Al Fayha, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al Shabab 1-1 Al Fayha (12.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.86.

How does Bawler predict Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al Shabab 50%, the draw 25% and Al Fayha 25%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.71 and away expected goals 1.15.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Shabab vs Al Fayha?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.86. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Shabab form →Al Fayha form →