Al Hilal beat Al Shabab 2–0. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Shabab had 8 shots (1 on target) to Al Hilal's 24 (7), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 3.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Hilal beat Al Shabab 2–0. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Shabab had 8 shots (1 on target) to Al Hilal's 24 (7), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 3.5.
Al Shabab 0–2 Al Hilal, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Shabab 13%, the draw 18% and Al Hilal 69%.
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–3.5, Shots 8–24, Shots on target 1–7, Shots inside box 6–20, Big chances 0–8, Corners 4–14, Saves 4–1, Fouls 11–6, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 2–1.
No. It finished 0–2, so Al Shabab failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Hilal to win 69%, it finished Al Hilal won (69% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No.