Al Shabab vs Al Hilal prediction — Saudi Pro League · Fri 4 Sept · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Fri 4 Sept · 19:00 UK
Al Shabab 13Draw 18Al Hilal 69
Our call before kickoff
69%
Al Hilal to win
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
81%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
66%

How it finished

Al Hilal beat Al Shabab 2–0. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Shabab had 8 shots (1 on target) to Al Hilal's 24 (7), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 3.5.

Al ShababFull-time statsAl Hilal
38%Possession62%
0.8Expected goals (xG)3.5
8Shots24
1Shots on target7
6Shots inside box20
0Big chances8
4Corners14
4Saves1
11Fouls6
2Offsides3
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Hilal to win 69%Al Hilal won (69% called)
Total goals3.42
Both teams to score57%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al ShababAl Hilal
1.0
Goals+1.5
2.4
11.5
Shots+5.0
16.4
5.4
On target+3.3
8.7
7.6
Corners+2.6
5.0
Al ShababAl Hilal
0.4
Goals+0.3
0.7
5.5
Shots+1.9
7.4
2.5
On target+1.2
3.7
3.6
Corners+1.2
2.4
Al ShababAl Hilal
0.6
Goals+1.2
1.7
6.0
Shots+3.0
9.0
2.9
On target+2.1
5.0
4.0
Corners+1.4
2.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Al Hilal to score91%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Al Shabab to score62%

First half — what we expected

Al Shabab
38%
to score before half-time
Al Hilal
69%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%

Al ShababAl Hilal
5.51st-half shots7.4
2.51st-half shots on target3.7
3.61st-half corners2.4

First-half chances

44%Chance of 6+ shots68%
22%Chance of 8+ shots44%
44%Chance of 3+ shots on target68%
13%Chance of 5+ shots on target33%
64%Chance of 3+ corners40%
30%Chance of 5+ corners12%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Shabab5.56.0
Shots · Al Hilal7.49.0
Shots on target · Al Shabab2.52.9
Shots on target · Al Hilal3.75.0
Corners · Al Shabab3.64.0
Corners · Al Hilal2.42.7
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Shabab 0 · Draws 1 · Al Hilal 4
Al Hilal in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Al Shabab 3–5 Al Hilal
Oct 2025Al Hilal 1–0 Al Shabab
Apr 2025Al Hilal 2–2 Al Shabab
Nov 2024Al Shabab 1–2 Al Hilal
Mar 2024Al Shabab 3–4 Al Hilal
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Shabab vs Al Hilal?

Al Hilal beat Al Shabab 2–0. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Shabab had 8 shots (1 on target) to Al Hilal's 24 (7), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 3.5.

What was the final score in Al Shabab vs Al Hilal?

Al Shabab 0–2 Al Hilal, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Shabab 13%, the draw 18% and Al Hilal 69%.

What were the stats in Al Shabab vs Al Hilal?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–3.5, Shots 8–24, Shots on target 1–7, Shots inside box 6–20, Big chances 0–8, Corners 4–14, Saves 4–1, Fouls 11–6, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Al Shabab vs Al Hilal?

No. It finished 0–2, so Al Shabab failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Hilal right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Hilal to win 69%, it finished Al Hilal won (69% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Shabab form →Al Hilal form →