Al Hazem vs Al Shabab prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 17:05 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 17:05 UK
Al Hazem 39Draw 25Al Shabab 37
Our call before kickoff
63%
Al Hazem or draw
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
60%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
64%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
62%

How it finished

Al Hazem and Al Shabab drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Hazem at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Hazem had 8 shots (4 on target) to Al Shabab's 11 (6), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.8.

Al HazemFull-time statsAl Shabab
45%Possession55%
1.0Expected goals (xG)0.8
8Shots11
4Shots on target6
2Shots inside box7
1Big chances3
3Corners8
4Saves3
15Fouls11
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Hazem or draw 63%Draw (25% called)
Total goals3.22
Both teams to score64%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 83%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al HazemAl Shabab
1.6
Goals+0.1
1.6
15.3
Shots+1.1
14.2
5.2
On target
5.2
6.3
Corners+0.4
5.9
Al HazemAl Shabab
0.4
Goals
0.4
6.9
Shots+0.8
6.1
2.3
On target+0.2
2.1
2.9
Corners+0.2
2.8
Al HazemAl Shabab
1.3
Goals+0.1
1.2
8.4
Shots+0.3
8.0
2.9
On target+0.2
3.1
3.3
Corners+0.2
3.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals83%
Al Hazem to score80%
Al Shabab to score79%
Over 2.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

Al Hazem
36%
to score before half-time
Al Shabab
38%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 60%

Al HazemAl Shabab
6.91st-half shots6.1
2.31st-half shots on target2.1
2.91st-half corners2.8

First-half chances

63%Chance of 6+ shots54%
39%Chance of 8+ shots30%
87%Chance of 1+ shots on target85%
40%Chance of 3+ shots on target36%
74%Chance of 2+ corners71%
34%Chance of 4+ corners30%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Hazem6.98.4
Shots · Al Shabab6.18.0
Shots on target · Al Hazem2.32.9
Shots on target · Al Shabab2.13.1
Corners · Al Hazem2.93.3
Corners · Al Shabab2.83.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Hazem 0 · Draws 0 · Al Shabab 5
Al Shabab in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Jan 2026Al Hazem 0–4 Al Shabab
Sept 2025Al Shabab 1–0 Al Hazem
Mar 2024Al Hazem 0–3 Al Shabab
Sept 2023Al Shabab 4–1 Al Hazem
Feb 2022Al Hazem 1–2 Al Shabab
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Hazem vs Al Shabab?

Al Hazem and Al Shabab drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Hazem at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Hazem had 8 shots (4 on target) to Al Shabab's 11 (6), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Al Hazem vs Al Shabab?

Al Hazem 1–1 Al Shabab, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Hazem 39%, the draw 25% and Al Shabab 37%.

What were the stats in Al Hazem vs Al Shabab?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.8, Shots 8–11, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 2–7, Big chances 1–3, Corners 3–8, Saves 4–3, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Al Hazem vs Al Shabab?

Yes — both Al Hazem and Al Shabab scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Hazem vs Al Shabab right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Hazem or draw 63%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
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