Al Hazem vs Al Shabab prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 17:05 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 17:05 UK
Al Hazem 39Draw 25Al Shabab 36
The call
64%
Al Hazem or draw
3.2
Goals expected
4d 16hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals83%
Al Hazem to score80%
Both teams to score64%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L W W W L L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AHA 0 · D 0 · ASH 5
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Jan 2026Al Hazem 0–4 Al Shabab
Sept 2025Al Shabab 1–0 Al Hazem
Mar 2024Al Hazem 0–3 Al Shabab
Sept 2023Al Shabab 4–1 Al Hazem
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Common questions

Who will win Al Hazem vs Al Shabab?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Hazem are favoured (39% win probability vs 36% for Al Shabab, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al Hazem vs Al Shabab?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al Hazem 1-1 Al Shabab (11.1% probability). Expected total goals: 3.19.

How does Bawler predict Al Hazem vs Al Shabab?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al Hazem 39%, the draw 25% and Al Shabab 36%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al Hazem vs Al Shabab?

BTTS: Yes (64% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.62 and away expected goals 1.56.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Hazem vs Al Shabab?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.19. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Hazem form →Al Shabab form →