Al Kholood vs Al Shabab prediction — Saudi Pro League · Wed 9 Sept · 16:55 UK

Saudi Pro League · Wed 9 Sept · 16:55 UK
Al Kholood 39Draw 25Al Shabab 36
Our call before kickoff
64%
Al Kholood or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Al Kholood beat Al Shabab 2–1. Bawler's model had Al Kholood in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Al Kholood had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Shabab's 8 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.5.

Al KholoodFull-time statsAl Shabab
50%Possession50%
2.0Expected goals (xG)0.5
14Shots8
5Shots on target3
8Shots inside box4
4Big chances1
5Corners5
2Saves3
10Fouls9
1Offsides0
4Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Kholood or draw 64%Al Kholood won (39% called)
Total goals3.13
Both teams to score62%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al KholoodAl Shabab
1.6
Goals+0.1
1.5
15.4
Shots+1.3
14.1
6.2
On target+1.2
5.0
4.1
Corners+3.4
7.5
Al KholoodAl Shabab
0.7
Goals+0.3
0.4
7.6
Shots+1.4
6.1
3.0
On target+1.0
2.0
1.9
Corners+1.6
3.5
Al KholoodAl Shabab
0.9
Goals+0.2
1.2
7.8
Shots+0.2
7.9
3.2
On target+0.2
3.0
2.2
Corners+1.8
4.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals82%
Al Kholood to score79%
Al Shabab to score78%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Al Kholood
67%
to score before half-time
Al Shabab
36%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

Al KholoodAl Shabab
7.61st-half shots6.1
3.01st-half shots on target2.0
1.91st-half corners3.5

First-half chances

58%Chance of 7+ shots41%
36%Chance of 9+ shots21%
76%Chance of 2+ shots on target57%
35%Chance of 4+ shots on target17%
30%Chance of 3+ corners64%
<10%Chance of 5+ corners29%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Kholood7.67.8
Shots · Al Shabab6.17.9
Shots on target · Al Kholood3.03.2
Shots on target · Al Shabab2.03.0
Corners · Al Kholood1.92.2
Corners · Al Shabab3.54.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Kholood 2 · Draws 0 · Al Shabab 3
Al Shabab in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Al Kholood 1–0 Al Shabab
Sept 2025Al Shabab 1–2 Al Kholood
Apr 2025Al Shabab 2–0 Al Kholood
Nov 2024Al Kholood 0–2 Al Shabab
Sept 2024Al Kholood 1–3 Al Shabab
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?

Al Kholood beat Al Shabab 2–1. Bawler's model had Al Kholood in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Al Kholood had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Shabab's 8 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?

Al Kholood 2–1 Al Shabab, played on 09 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Kholood 39%, the draw 25% and Al Shabab 36%.

What were the stats in Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.5, Shots 14–8, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 4–1, Corners 5–5, Saves 2–3, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 4–3.

Did both teams score in Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?

Yes — both Al Kholood and Al Shabab scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Kholood vs Al Shabab right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Kholood or draw 64%, it finished Al Kholood won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Kholood form →Al Shabab form →