Al Kholood beat Al Shabab 2–1. Bawler's model had Al Kholood in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Al Kholood had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Shabab's 8 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Kholood beat Al Shabab 2–1. Bawler's model had Al Kholood in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Al Kholood had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Shabab's 8 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.5.
Al Kholood 2–1 Al Shabab, played on 09 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Kholood 39%, the draw 25% and Al Shabab 36%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.5, Shots 14–8, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 4–1, Corners 5–5, Saves 2–3, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 4–3.
Yes — both Al Kholood and Al Shabab scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Kholood or draw 64%, it finished Al Kholood won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.