Al Kholood vs Al Shabab prediction — Saudi Pro League · Wed 9 Sept · 16:55 UK

Saudi Pro League · Wed 9 Sept · 16:55 UK
Al Kholood 37Draw 26Al Shabab 38
The call
63%
Al Shabab or draw
3.0
Goals expected
14d 03hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals80%
Al Shabab to score78%
Al Kholood to score78%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D L D D W W
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AKH 2 · D 0 · ASH 3
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Feb 2026Al Kholood 1–0 Al Shabab
Sept 2025Al Shabab 1–2 Al Kholood
Apr 2025Al Shabab 2–0 Al Kholood
Nov 2024Al Kholood 0–2 Al Shabab
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Common questions

Who will win Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Shabab are favoured (38% win probability vs 37% for Al Kholood, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al Kholood 1-1 Al Shabab (11.8% probability). Expected total goals: 3.02.

How does Bawler predict Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al Kholood 37%, the draw 26% and Al Shabab 38%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?

BTTS: Yes (61% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.50 and away expected goals 1.52.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.02. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Kholood form →Al Shabab form →