Al Fayha vs Al Kholood prediction — Saudi Pro League · Thu 3 Sept · 16:55 UK

Saudi Pro League · Thu 3 Sept · 16:55 UK
Al Fayha 40Draw 29Al Kholood 32
Our call before kickoff
68%
Al Fayha or draw
Landed
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
51%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
45%

How it finished

Al Fayha and Al Kholood drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Al Fayha at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Al Fayha had 10 shots (4 on target) to Al Kholood's 16 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.

Al FayhaFull-time statsAl Kholood
39%Possession61%
0.9Expected goals (xG)1.9
10Shots16
4Shots on target4
5Shots inside box12
2Big chances7
3Corners7
2Saves3
12Fouls5
1Offsides0
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Fayha or draw 68%Draw (29% called)
Total goals2.54
Both teams to score51%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 71%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al FayhaAl Kholood
1.3
Goals+0.2
1.2
15.6
Shots+1.8
17.5
6.2
On target+0.7
6.9
4.1
Corners+0.9
3.1
Al FayhaAl Kholood
0.5
Goals
0.4
7.5
Shots+0.7
8.2
2.9
On target+0.1
3.0
1.9
Corners+0.4
1.5
Al FayhaAl Kholood
0.9
Goals+0.1
0.7
8.1
Shots+1.2
9.3
3.4
On target+0.6
4.0
2.2
Corners+0.5
1.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Al Fayha to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Al Kholood to score69%

First half — what we expected

Al Fayha
47%
to score before half-time
Al Kholood
44%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Al FayhaAl Kholood
7.51st-half shots8.2
2.91st-half shots on target3.0
1.91st-half corners1.5

First-half chances

58%Chance of 7+ shots65%
35%Chance of 9+ shots42%
74%Chance of 2+ shots on target75%
32%Chance of 4+ shots on target34%
80%Chance of 1+ corners71%
30%Chance of 3+ corners20%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Fayha7.58.1
Shots · Al Kholood8.29.3
Shots on target · Al Fayha2.93.4
Shots on target · Al Kholood3.04.0
Corners · Al Fayha1.92.2
Corners · Al Kholood1.51.7
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 4Al Fayha 1 · Draws 1 · Al Kholood 2
Al Kholood in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026Al Kholood 1–1 Al-Fayha
Jan 2026Al-Fayha 0–5 Al Kholood
May 2025Al Kholood 2–0 Al-Fayha
Jan 2025Al-Fayha 1–0 Al Kholood
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Fayha vs Al Kholood?

Al Fayha and Al Kholood drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Al Fayha at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Al Fayha had 10 shots (4 on target) to Al Kholood's 16 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Al Fayha vs Al Kholood?

Al Fayha 2–2 Al Kholood, played on 03 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Fayha 40%, the draw 29% and Al Kholood 32%.

What were the stats in Al Fayha vs Al Kholood?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.9, Shots 10–16, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 5–12, Big chances 2–7, Corners 3–7, Saves 2–3, Fouls 12–5, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Al Fayha vs Al Kholood?

Yes — both Al Fayha and Al Kholood scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Fayha vs Al Kholood right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Fayha or draw 68%, it finished Draw (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 71%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Fayha form →Al Kholood form →