Al Fayha and Al Kholood drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Al Fayha at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Al Fayha had 10 shots (4 on target) to Al Kholood's 16 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Fayha and Al Kholood drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Al Fayha at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Al Fayha had 10 shots (4 on target) to Al Kholood's 16 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.
Al Fayha 2–2 Al Kholood, played on 03 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Fayha 40%, the draw 29% and Al Kholood 32%.
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.9, Shots 10–16, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 5–12, Big chances 2–7, Corners 3–7, Saves 2–3, Fouls 12–5, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–2.
Yes — both Al Fayha and Al Kholood scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Fayha or draw 68%, it finished Draw (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 71%, it finished Landed.