Al Fayha vs Abha prediction — Saudi Pro League · Fri 28 Aug · 17:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Fri 28 Aug · 17:00 UK
Al Fayha 38Draw 30Abha 32
Our call before kickoff
68%
Al Fayha or draw
Landed
2.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
67%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
47%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
41%

How it finished

Al Fayha beat Abha 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Fayha in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 5. Al Fayha had 18 shots (6 on target) to Abha's 8 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.5.

Al FayhaFull-time statsAbha
56%Possession44%
1.9Expected goals (xG)1.5
18Shots8
6Shots on target5
12Shots inside box5
3Big chances2
5Corners3
3Saves3
8Fouls16
2Offsides5
0Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Fayha or draw 68%Al Fayha won (38% called)
Total goals2.35
Both teams to score47%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al FayhaAbha
1.2
Goals+0.1
1.1
11.0
Shots+4.2
15.2
4.0
On target+1.1
5.0
3.0
Corners+3.3
6.3
Al FayhaAbha
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
5.4
Shots+1.5
6.9
1.9
On target+0.4
2.3
1.4
Corners+1.6
2.9
Al FayhaAbha
0.8
Goals+0.1
0.7
5.6
Shots+2.7
8.3
2.1
On target+0.7
2.8
1.6
Corners+1.8
3.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals79%
Al Fayha to score71%
Over 1.5 goals68%
Abha to score67%

First half — what we expected

Al Fayha
46%
to score before half-time
Abha
38%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%

Al FayhaAbha
5.41st-half shots6.9
1.91st-half shots on target2.3
1.41st-half corners2.9

First-half chances

43%Chance of 6+ shots63%
22%Chance of 8+ shots39%
81%Chance of 1+ shots on target86%
29%Chance of 3+ shots on target38%
38%Chance of 2+ corners74%
<10%Chance of 4+ corners34%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Fayha5.45.6
Shots · Abha6.98.3
Shots on target · Al Fayha1.92.1
Shots on target · Abha2.32.8
Corners · Al Fayha1.41.6
Corners · Abha2.93.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Fayha 2 · Draws 2 · Abha 1
Abha in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2024Al-Fayha 3–2 Abha
Aug 2023Abha 2–1 Al-Fayha
Mar 2023Al-Fayha 2–0 Abha
Sept 2022Abha 1–1 Al-Fayha
Jun 2022Abha 0–0 Al-Fayha
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Fayha vs Abha?

Al Fayha beat Abha 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Fayha in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 5. Al Fayha had 18 shots (6 on target) to Abha's 8 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Al Fayha vs Abha?

Al Fayha 3–2 Abha, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Fayha 38%, the draw 30% and Abha 32%.

What were the stats in Al Fayha vs Abha?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.5, Shots 18–8, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 12–5, Big chances 3–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 8–16, Offsides 2–5, Yellow cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in Al Fayha vs Abha?

Yes — both Al Fayha and Abha scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Fayha vs Abha right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Fayha or draw 68%, it finished Al Fayha won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Fayha form →Abha form →