Al Fayha vs Abha prediction — Saudi Pro League · Fri 28 Aug · 17:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Fri 28 Aug · 17:00 UK
Al Fayha 40Draw 28Abha 32
The call
68%
Al Fayha or draw
2.5
Goals expected
2d 03hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Under 3.5 goals76%
Al Fayha to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Abha to score69%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L L L L W L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ALA 2 · D 2 · ABH 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2024Al-Fayha 3–2 Abha
Aug 2023Abha 2–1 Al-Fayha
Mar 2023Al-Fayha 2–0 Abha
Sept 2022Abha 1–1 Al-Fayha
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Common questions

Who will win Al Fayha vs Abha?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Fayha are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Abha, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al Fayha vs Abha?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al Fayha 1-1 Abha (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.

How does Bawler predict Al Fayha vs Abha?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al Fayha 40%, the draw 28% and Abha 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al Fayha vs Abha?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Fayha vs Abha?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Fayha form →Abha form →