Al Fayha beat Abha 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Fayha in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 5. Al Fayha had 18 shots (6 on target) to Abha's 8 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Fayha beat Abha 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Fayha in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 5. Al Fayha had 18 shots (6 on target) to Abha's 8 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.5.
Al Fayha 3–2 Abha, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Fayha 38%, the draw 30% and Abha 32%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.5, Shots 18–8, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 12–5, Big chances 3–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 8–16, Offsides 2–5, Yellow cards 0–3.
Yes — both Al Fayha and Abha scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Fayha or draw 68%, it finished Al Fayha won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished Yes.