Ajax Amsterdam and NEC Nijmegen drew 1–1. Ajax Amsterdam had 18 shots (5 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 8 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.1.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Ajax Amsterdam and NEC Nijmegen drew 1–1. Ajax Amsterdam had 18 shots (5 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 8 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.1.
Ajax Amsterdam 1–1 NEC Nijmegen, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ajax Amsterdam 57%, the draw 21% and NEC Nijmegen 22%.
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.1, Shots 18–8, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 4–1, Corners 4–4, Saves 1–4, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 1–5, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both Ajax Amsterdam and NEC Nijmegen scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.