FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax AmsterdamMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Fortuna Sittard win
26%
Draw
24%
Ajax Amsterdam win
50%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.9
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 5
Total 6 (+2.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 4.1
From the match itself
The match produced 2.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.