How it finished
AFC Bournemouth and Brentford drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured AFC Bournemouth at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. AFC Bournemouth had 20 shots (10 on target) to Brentford's 8 (2), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford?
AFC Bournemouth and Brentford drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured AFC Bournemouth at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. AFC Bournemouth had 20 shots (10 on target) to Brentford's 8 (2), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.5.
What was the final score in AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford?
AFC Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with AFC Bournemouth 46%, the draw 24% and Brentford 30%.
What were the stats in AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.5, Shots 20–8, Shots on target 10–2, Shots inside box 12–6, Big chances 4–2, Corners 2–1, Saves 0–8, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 5–1.
Did both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Yes — both AFC Bournemouth and Brentford scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AFC Bournemouth or draw 70%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.