Bawler / USA: MLS / Seattle Sounders
Team profile · USA: MLS

Seattle Sounders Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
11
11 settled
Goals for
1.46
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.32
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
55%
6/11 calls

Seattle Sounders prediction: Bawler's model rates Seattle Sounders at 1.46 expected goals scored and 1.32 conceded per match across 11 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 55% of the time. They have lost their last 5 settled matches. No Seattle Sounders fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Seattle Sounders sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.46 expected goals a game and conceding 1.32. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.46 expected. Recent form is poor — 5 defeats in a row. Across 11 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Seattle Sounders have been correct 55% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 3D 5L
Real goals
1.0 – 1.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Seattle Sounders compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.46
Below average
Goals against
1.32
Tighter than most
Scored1.46
Conceded1.32

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
5-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

📊 Seattle Sounders in numbers

50 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 2.2✈️ 1.0
5.1
Corners · per game
give up 4.5
🏠 4.8✈️ 5.3
14.0
Shots · per game
faced 12.4
🏠 14.7✈️ 13.3
5.0
On target · per game
faced 4.9
🏠 5.8✈️ 4.2
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
3-0
vs Queretaro
🚩 2-4
06 Aug
0-3
@ Toluca
🚩 1-12
02 Aug
1-2
@ Portland Timbers
🚩 5-4
25 Jul
0-1
@ Philadelphia Union
🚩 1-6
23 Jul
1-3
@ Austin
🚩 4-4
17 Jul
1-5
vs Portland Timbers
🚩 2-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Seattle Sounders matches
55%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 11

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Seattle Sounders fixture, it is right 6 out of 11 (55%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Seattle Sounders by market
Result50%3/6
Goals (Over/Under)60%3/5

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Seattle Sounders fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Seattle Sounders matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INMax AnchorGKfrom Vancouver WhitecapsFree transfer
INRyan SailorCBfrom Inter Miami CFFree transfer
OUTGeorgi MinoungouLWto Colorado RapidsFree transfer
OUTReed Baker-WhitingLBto Nashville SC€875k
OUTRyan KentLWto Free agentFree transfer
OUTCody BakerRBto New England RevolutionLoan
OUTJon BellCBto Austin FCFree transfer
OUTYu TsukanomeAMto Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Seattle Sounders prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly