Bawler / USA: MLS / New York Red Bulls
Team profile · USA: MLS

New York Red Bulls Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
11
10 settled
Goals for
1.68
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.58
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
80%
8/10 calls

New York Red Bulls prediction: for New York Red Bulls's next match — Atlanta Utd vs New York Red Bulls on Saturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Atlanta Utd are favoured (45%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

New York Red Bulls sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.68 expected goals a game and conceding 1.58. Next up is a trip to Atlanta United FC, where the model has them as underdogs at 28%.

Next match

Away vs Atlanta Utd · Saturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Win
28%
This team
Draw
27%
Loss
45%
Atlanta Utd
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 85%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
5W 1D 4L
Real goals
1.8 – 2.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How New York Red Bulls compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.68
Above average
Goals against
1.58
Leakier than most
Scored1.68
Conceded1.58

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.68 xG per match · +0.20 above the USA: MLS average of 1.48.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on New York Red Bulls fixtures (7/7).
Tough market: Result
New York Red Bulls matches give the model a harder read here — 1/3 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 New York Red Bulls in numbers

44 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
🏠 2.0✈️ 0.9
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.2
🏠 4.6✈️ 4.1
12.0
Shots · per game
faced 12.1
🏠 13.6✈️ 10.2
4.2
On target · per game
faced 4.7
🏠 5.1✈️ 3.2
🗓️ Last 6 games
01 Aug
3-2
vs Orlando City
🚩 5-4
25 Jul
0-2
vs Charlotte
🚩 6-1
22 Jul
1-3
@ Philadelphia Union
🚩 6-8
24 May
2-1
@ Sporting Kansas City
🚩 1-6
16 May
1-1
vs New York City
🚩 9-3
13 May
3-2
vs Columbus Crew
🚩 3-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on New York Red Bulls matches
80%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 10

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a New York Red Bulls fixture, it is right 8 out of 10 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on New York Red Bulls by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%7/7
Result33%1/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on New York Red Bulls fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for New York Red Bulls matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

New York Red Bulls prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly