Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York prediction — MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30 UK
Atlanta United FC 45Draw 27Red Bull New York 28
The call
85%
Over 1.5 goals
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Atlanta United FC beat Red Bull New York 2–1. Bawler's model had Atlanta United FC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Atlanta United FC had 10 shots (3 on target) to Red Bull New York's 11 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 1.9.

Atlanta…Full-time statsRed Bull New…
40%Possession60%
2.4Expected goals (xG)1.9
10Shots11
3Shots on target3
5Shots inside box7
5Big chances2
3Corners7
2Saves1
14Fouls12
4Offsides2
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAtlanta United FC 45%Atlanta United FC (45% called)
Total goals3.53
Both teams to score67%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
Atlanta United FC to score86%
Red Bull New York to score78%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ATL 0 · D 1 · RED 4
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2025Red Bull New York II 1–0 Atlanta United 2
Mar 2025Atlanta United 2 0–1 Red Bull New York II
Jul 2024Red Bull New York II 6–2 Atlanta United 2
Aug 2023Red Bull New York II 4–2 Atlanta United 2
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York?

Atlanta United FC beat Red Bull New York 2–1. Bawler's model had Atlanta United FC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Atlanta United FC had 10 shots (3 on target) to Red Bull New York's 11 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York?

Atlanta United FC 2–1 Red Bull New York, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlanta United FC 45%, the draw 27% and Red Bull New York 28%.

What were the stats in Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York?

Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–1.9, Shots 10–11, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 5–7, Big chances 5–2, Corners 3–7, Saves 2–1, Fouls 14–12, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York?

Yes — both Atlanta United FC and Red Bull New York scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Atlanta United FC 45%, it finished Atlanta United FC (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Atlanta United FC form →Red Bull New York form →