St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy prediction — MLS · Mon 12 Oct · 00:00 UK

MLS · Mon 12 Oct · 00:00 UK
59St. Louis CITY SC win21Draw20LA Galaxy win
Full time
6–2

How it finished

St. Louis CITY SC beat LA Galaxy 6–2. St. Louis CITY SC had 11 shots (6 on target) to LA Galaxy's 18 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 2.0.

St. Louis…Full-time statsLA Galaxy
59%Possession41%
2.6Expected goals (xG)2.0
11Shots18
6Shots on target7
11Shots inside box12
4Big chances2
2Corners3
5Saves0
17Fouls10
3Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
We predicted
2–1
St. Louis CITY SC to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.2v1.2
3.4 in total
Both teams score
63%
Yes
3+ goals
67%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

St. Louis CITY SCSt. Louis CITY SCLA GalaxyLA Galaxy
2.2Goals1.2
18.4Shots10.0
6.3On target4.6
5.9Corners4.3
St. Louis CITY SCSt. Louis CITY SCLA GalaxyLA Galaxy
1.1Goals0.6
8.3Shots4.2
2.8On target1.9
2.8Corners2.0
St. Louis CITY SCSt. Louis CITY SCLA GalaxyLA Galaxy
1.1Goals0.7
10.1Shots5.7
3.4On target2.7
3.1Corners2.3

What we said the chances were

St. Louis CITY SC to score89%
2 or more goals86%
Goal before half-time81%
LA Galaxy to score71%

First half — what we expected

St. Louis CITY SC
68%
to score before half-time
LA Galaxy
42%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

St. Louis CITY SCSt. Louis CITY SCLA GalaxyLA Galaxy
66%7+ shots18%
43%9+ shots<10%
73%2+ shots on target54%
32%4+ shots on target15%
71%2+ corners55%
31%4+ corners17%

League position

LA Galaxy in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Jul 2026LA Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City
Jun 2025St. Louis City 3–3 LA Galaxy
Mar 2025LA Galaxy 0–3 St. Louis City
Sept 2024St. Louis City 2–1 LA Galaxy
Mar 2024LA Galaxy 3–3 St. Louis City
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →St. Louis CITY SC form →LA Galaxy form →

Common questions

Who won St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy?

St. Louis CITY SC beat LA Galaxy 6–2. St. Louis CITY SC had 11 shots (6 on target) to LA Galaxy's 18 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 2.0.

What was the final score in St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy?

St. Louis CITY SC 6–2 LA Galaxy, played on 12 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with St. Louis CITY SC 59%, the draw 21% and LA Galaxy 20%.

What were the stats in St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–2.0, Shots 11–18, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 11–12, Big chances 4–2, Corners 2–3, Saves 5–0, Fouls 17–10, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy?

Yes — both St. Louis CITY SC and LA Galaxy scored, finishing 6–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.