Bawler / USA: MLS / Charlotte

Team profile · USA: MLS

Charlotte Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

11 settled

Goals for

1.37

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.50

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

64%

7/11 calls

Charlotte prediction: for Charlotte's next match — Charlotte vs Columbus Crew on Saturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Charlotte win looks most likely (41%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Charlotte sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.37 expected goals a game and conceding 1.50. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.91 a game against 1.37 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is Columbus Crew, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 41%.

Next match

Home vs Columbus Crew · Saturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Win

41%

Charlotte

Draw

31%

Loss

28%

Opponent

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 81%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

v New England Revolution

3-1

v Toronto

Record

6W 2D 3L

Real goals

1.9 – 1.1

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Charlotte compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for

1.37

Below average

Goals against

1.50

Leakier than most

Scored1.37

Conceded1.50

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

📊 Charlotte in numbers

51 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.6

Goals · per game

let in 1.2

🏠 1.9✈️ 1.2

4.2

Corners · per game

give up 5.2

🏠 4.3✈️ 4.1

10.8

Shots · per game

faced 14.6

🏠 11.8✈️ 9.5

4.2

On target · per game

faced 5.2

🏠 4.8✈️ 3.3

🗓️ Last 6 games

12 Aug

0-1

vs Pachuca

🚩 5-6

08 Aug

2-0

vs Atlas

🚩 1-8

05 Aug

3-0

vs UNAM Pumas

🚩 6-5

02 Aug

1-2

@ Chicago Fire

🚩 6-8

25 Jul

2-0

@ New York Red Bulls

🚩 1-6

23 Jul

2-2

vs Atlanta Utd

🚩 6-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Charlotte matches

64%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 11

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Charlotte fixture, it is right 7 out of 11 (64%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Charlotte by market

Goals (Over/Under)63%5/8

Result67%2/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Charlotte fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Charlotte matches.