Charlotte FC vs Columbus Crew prediction — MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30 UK
Charlotte FC 41Draw 31Columbus Crew 28
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1

How it finished

Charlotte FC beat Columbus Crew 3–1. Bawler's model had Charlotte FC in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Charlotte FC had 9 shots (7 on target) to Columbus Crew's 26 (4), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.4.

Charlotte FCFull-time statsColumbus Crew
30%Possession70%
1.9Expected goals (xG)1.4
9Shots26
7Shots on target4
7Shots inside box17
5Big chances1
1Corners13
3Saves3
9Fouls9
2Offsides0
3Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCharlotte FC 41%Charlotte FC (41% called)
Total goals2.74
Both teams to score55%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Charlotte FC to score78%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals71%
Columbus Crew to score70%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CHA 3 · D 1 · COL 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Aug 2026Charlotte FC 3–1 Columbus Crew
May 2025Charlotte FC 3–2 Columbus Crew
May 2025Columbus Crew 4–2 Charlotte FC
Jul 2024Columbus Crew 1–1 Charlotte FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Charlotte FC vs Columbus Crew?

Charlotte FC beat Columbus Crew 3–1. Bawler's model had Charlotte FC in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Charlotte FC had 9 shots (7 on target) to Columbus Crew's 26 (4), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Charlotte FC vs Columbus Crew?

Charlotte FC 3–1 Columbus Crew, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlotte FC 41%, the draw 31% and Columbus Crew 28%.

What were the stats in Charlotte FC vs Columbus Crew?

Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.4, Shots 9–26, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 7–17, Big chances 5–1, Corners 1–13, Saves 3–3, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 3–0.

Did both teams score in Charlotte FC vs Columbus Crew?

Yes — both Charlotte FC and Columbus Crew scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Charlotte FC vs Columbus Crew right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Charlotte FC 41%, it finished Charlotte FC (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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