What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Wrexham vs Burnley?
Bawler's model rates this match: Burnley are favoured (38% win probability vs 34% for Wrexham, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Burnley?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Wrexham 1-1 Burnley (13.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.70.
How does Bawler predict Wrexham vs Burnley?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Wrexham 34%, the draw 27% and Burnley 38%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Burnley?
BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.30 and away expected goals 1.40.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Wrexham vs Burnley?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.70. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).