How it finished
Wrexham and Burnley drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Burnley at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Wrexham had 15 shots (5 on target) to Burnley's 19 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Wrexham vs Burnley?
Wrexham and Burnley drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Burnley at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Wrexham had 15 shots (5 on target) to Burnley's 19 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.
What was the final score in Wrexham vs Burnley?
Wrexham 1–1 Burnley, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Wrexham 34%, the draw 28% and Burnley 38%.
What were the stats in Wrexham vs Burnley?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.3, Shots 15–19, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 13–10, Big chances 5–4, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 12–15, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Wrexham vs Burnley?
Yes — both Wrexham and Burnley scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Wrexham vs Burnley right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Burnley or draw 66%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes.