How it finished
Fiorentina beat Venezia 4–2. Bawler's model had Fiorentina in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Venezia had 10 shots (3 on target) to Fiorentina's 19 (10), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 3.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Venezia vs Fiorentina?
Fiorentina beat Venezia 4–2. Bawler's model had Fiorentina in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Venezia had 10 shots (3 on target) to Fiorentina's 19 (10), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 3.4.
What was the final score in Venezia vs Fiorentina?
Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina, played on 11 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Venezia 36%, the draw 27% and Fiorentina 37%.
What were the stats in Venezia vs Fiorentina?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–3.4, Shots 10–19, Shots on target 3–10, Shots inside box 8–15, Big chances 2–6, Corners 2–4, Saves 6–1, Fouls 11–6, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Venezia vs Fiorentina?
Yes — both Venezia and Fiorentina scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Venezia vs Fiorentina right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fiorentina or draw 64%, it finished Fiorentina won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.