FT · Italy: Serie A · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Venezia 0–2 LazioMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Venezia win
28%
Draw
26%
Lazio win
46%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.7
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.