How it finished
Union St.-Gilloise beat Lommel SK 5–0. Bawler's model had Union St.-Gilloise in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Union St.-Gilloise had 28 shots (12 on target) to Lommel SK's 11 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 3.3 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Union St.-Gilloise vs Lommel SK?
Union St.-Gilloise beat Lommel SK 5–0. Bawler's model had Union St.-Gilloise in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Union St.-Gilloise had 28 shots (12 on target) to Lommel SK's 11 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 3.3 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Union St.-Gilloise vs Lommel SK?
Union St.-Gilloise 5–0 Lommel SK, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Union St.-Gilloise 65%, the draw 22% and Lommel SK 13%.
What were the stats in Union St.-Gilloise vs Lommel SK?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 3.3–0.7, Shots 28–11, Shots on target 12–4, Shots inside box 25–5, Big chances 6–0, Corners 6–4, Saves 4–6, Fouls 9–3, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Union St.-Gilloise vs Lommel SK?
No. It finished 5–0, so Lommel SK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs Lommel SK right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Union St.-Gilloise to win 65%, it finished Union St.-Gilloise won (65% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.