What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Union St.-Gilloise vs Lommel SK?
Bawler's model rates this match: Union St.-Gilloise are favoured (65% win probability vs 13% for Lommel SK, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Union St.-Gilloise vs Lommel SK?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Union St.-Gilloise 1-0 Lommel SK (13.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.70.
How does Bawler predict Union St.-Gilloise vs Lommel SK?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Union St.-Gilloise 65%, the draw 22% and Lommel SK 13%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Union St.-Gilloise vs Lommel SK?
BTTS: No (55% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 1.95 and away expected goals 0.74.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Union St.-Gilloise vs Lommel SK?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.70. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).