FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Sunday, 23 August 2026
Lommel SK 4–0 KVC WesterloMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 23 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Lommel SK or draw at 63%. Bawler had Lommel SK at 37%, the draw at 26% and KVC Westerlo at 37%. The match finished 4–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Lommel SK win
37%
Result
Draw
26%
KVC Westerlo win
37%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.5
Total 2.9
Actual
4 – 0
Total 4 (+1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 1.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 79%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.