How it finished
TSG Hoffenheim beat VfB Stuttgart 2–1. Bawler's model had TSG Hoffenheim in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. TSG Hoffenheim had 20 shots (8 on target) to VfB Stuttgart's 16 (5), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 2.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
TSG Hoffenheim beat VfB Stuttgart 2–1. Bawler's model had TSG Hoffenheim in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. TSG Hoffenheim had 20 shots (8 on target) to VfB Stuttgart's 16 (5), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 2.2.
What was the final score in TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
TSG Hoffenheim 2–1 VfB Stuttgart, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with TSG Hoffenheim 41%, the draw 24% and VfB Stuttgart 34%.
What were the stats in TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–2.2, Shots 20–16, Shots on target 8–5, Shots inside box 12–13, Big chances 6–5, Corners 5–7, Saves 4–6, Fouls 15–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
Yes — both TSG Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said TSG Hoffenheim or draw 66%, it finished TSG Hoffenheim won (41% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.