What we expect
In plain English
VfB Stuttgart should get at least a draw here. They have won four of their last six, the model expects them to create around half a goal more per game than Slovan Bratislava, and Slovan Bratislava have not beaten them in their last three meetings. Expect goals: the model sees around three.
What would change the call
VfB Stuttgart or draw, priced again from the same expected goals if the match reaches these states.
Each row is the call re-priced for that scoreline at half-time. Lineups are not in it — we publish per-player shooting rates, not a squad-strength number, so what a rested front three does to this figure is not something we can honestly put a number on.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bawler's model rates this match: VfB Stuttgart are favoured (57% win probability vs 21% for Slovan Bratislava, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Slovan Bratislava 1-1 VfB Stuttgart (10.0% probability). Expected total goals: 3.29.
How does Bawler predict Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Slovan Bratislava 21%, the draw 22% and VfB Stuttgart 57%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
BTTS: Yes (61% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.21 and away expected goals 2.07.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.29. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).