FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 12 September 2026
TSG Hoffenheim 2–1 VfB StuttgartMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
TSG Hoffenheim win
41%
Result
Draw
24%
VfB Stuttgart win
34%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.6
Total 3.3
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.6 – 2.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.3.