Marseille beat Troyes 2–0. Troyes had 15 shots (3 on target) to Marseille's 5 (2), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Marseille beat Troyes 2–0. Troyes had 15 shots (3 on target) to Marseille's 5 (2), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.
Troyes 0–2 Marseille, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Troyes 30%, the draw 24% and Marseille 46%.
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.3, Shots 15–5, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 0–3, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–1.
No. It finished 0–2, so Troyes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.