Troyes vs Marseille prediction — Ligue 1 · Sun 11 Oct · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sun 11 Oct · 19:45 UK
30Troyes win24Draw46Marseille win
Full time
0–2

How it finished

Marseille beat Troyes 2–0. Troyes had 15 shots (3 on target) to Marseille's 5 (2), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.

TroyesFull-time statsMarseille
37%Possession63%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.3
15Shots5
3Shots on target2
13Shots inside box5
2Big chances2
6Corners3
0Saves3
14Fouls15
2Offsides2
4Yellow cards1
We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if Marseille win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (10%)
Expected goals
1.5v1.9
3.4 in total
Both teams score
65%
Yes
3+ goals
65%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

TroyesTroyesMarseilleMarseille
1.5Goals1.9
21.0Shots20.3
4.3On target6.9
10.6Corners5.7
TroyesTroyesMarseilleMarseille
1.0Goals1.0
9.8Shots9.4
2.2On target3.1
5.0Corners2.7
TroyesTroyesMarseilleMarseille
0.4Goals0.9
11.2Shots10.9
2.1On target3.8
5.6Corners3.0

What we said the chances were

Goal before half-time87%
2 or more goals85%
Marseille to score85%
Troyes to score77%

First half — what we expected

Troyes
65%
to score before half-time
Marseille
63%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

TroyesTroyesMarseilleMarseille
59%9+ shots55%
39%11+ shots35%
60%2+ shots on target78%
19%4+ shots on target38%
69%4+ corners29%
38%6+ corners<10%

League position

Marseille in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2023Marseille 3–1 Troyes
Jan 2023Troyes 0–2 Marseille
Feb 2022Troyes 1–1 Marseille
Nov 2021Marseille 1–0 Troyes
Apr 2018Troyes 2–3 Marseille
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Troyes form →Marseille form →

Common questions

Who won Troyes vs Marseille?

Marseille beat Troyes 2–0. Troyes had 15 shots (3 on target) to Marseille's 5 (2), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Troyes vs Marseille?

Troyes 0–2 Marseille, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Troyes 30%, the draw 24% and Marseille 46%.

What were the stats in Troyes vs Marseille?

Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.3, Shots 15–5, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 0–3, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–1.

Did both teams score in Troyes vs Marseille?

No. It finished 0–2, so Troyes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.